Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.322767 0.351866 0.382795 0.418183 0.457634 0.500355 0.550243
2025-12-28 0.278527 0.320155 0.367355 0.425137 0.494370 0.575164 0.677326
2026-01-04 0.251804 0.299923 0.356931 0.430065 0.522279 0.635874 0.788245
2026-01-11 0.231441 0.283506 0.347374 0.432459 0.544315 0.688454 0.891728
2026-01-18 0.215065 0.269727 0.338786 0.433807 0.563335 0.736996 0.993138
2026-01-25 0.202549 0.259379 0.333081 0.437482 0.584563 0.789092 1.103690
2026-02-01 0.187586 0.244412 0.319738 0.429081 0.587509 0.814853 1.177592
2026-02-08 0.178232 0.236153 0.314580 0.431195 0.604918 0.862186 1.288206
2026-02-15 0.168346 0.226374 0.306438 0.428063 0.613837 0.896932 1.382016
2026-02-22 0.161010 0.219613 0.301955 0.429681 0.629621 0.943071 1.498911
2026-03-01 0.152529 0.210643 0.293608 0.424687 0.634398 0.971627 1.588502
2026-03-08 0.144535 0.201890 0.284979 0.418508 0.636526 0.995589 1.672088
2026-03-15 0.135078 0.190579 0.272028 0.404913 0.625852 0.997628 1.717113
2026-03-22 0.131445 0.187785 0.271815 0.411541 0.649260 1.060413 1.884142
2026-03-29 0.127644 0.184490 0.270566 0.416278 0.669646 1.119522 2.051547
2026-04-05 0.123575 0.180540 0.268012 0.418578 0.685798 1.172211 2.212773
2026-04-12 0.119585 0.176489 0.265032 0.419874 0.700112 1.222594 2.375805
2026-04-19 0.116338 0.173436 0.263457 0.423406 0.718656 1.282704 2.568312
2026-04-26 0.110984 0.166746 0.255563 0.415332 0.714844 1.298128 2.662022
2026-05-03 0.107940 0.163651 0.253455 0.417364 0.730300 1.353826 2.857349
2026-05-10 0.104144 0.159147 0.248739 0.414354 0.735675 1.389025 3.008463
2026-05-17 0.101405 0.156263 0.246612 0.415909 0.750088 1.444631 3.218669
2026-05-24 0.097717 0.151634 0.241255 0.411109 0.751301 1.471604 3.359397